A top expert at Crypto Capital Venture has put forward the view that a bull cycle for crypto markets is not far off. The firm’s most recent analysis makes a case for the next big rally being spurred by an expansion in the business cycle, with several indicators supporting a bullish stance.
Ethereum and Bitcoin Show Strong Recovery Signs
Take Ethereum, for instance. Its risk model stands at 28%, which translates to a 73% likelihood of price appreciation in the quarter ahead and a remarkable 92% over the course of the year. The Crypto Capital Venture specialist points out that Ethereum is testing a key 20-week resistance zone near $2,000; should it make a clean break above that, it could well be the start of a new bull run for the asset.
On the Bitcoin side, there is a sense of recovery after the coin retested its 200-day moving average in the $27,000 to $28,000 area. In the expert’s opinion, this kind of technical action serves to put a solid bottom under Bitcoin and only adds to the optimism for continued gains.
Business Cycle Expansion Drives Optimism
The analysis put forward by Crypto Capital Venture makes a compelling case that crypto markets are coming to resemble business cycle models more than the conventional four-year cycle. The expert notes that with the threat of a global recession at its most subdued since January 2021, one can see the makings of a period defined by market growth and renewed productivity.
Macroeconomic figures tell the same story. There has been a marked drop in the inflation index, for instance, as oil has come down from $120 to $70 a barrel in the last couple of months. In the view of the expert, this sort of environment provides a sound macro backdrop for risk assets such as Ethereum and Bitcoin.
PMI Data and Market Correlations
The Crypto Capital Venture video puts a lot of emphasis on the PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) figures. In walking through the data, the expert makes the case for a firm link between an expanding business cycle and the performance of crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum; when you see the PMI go up, the chances of a bull run in the markets rise with it, which is good support for a bullish view.
For 2023 and into the future, the analyst expects that kind of expansion to be what propels the crypto market forward. It is something the trading community has its eye on, waiting to see if the trend holds as some of the more important technical resistance is put to the test in the major coins.
Source — Crypto Capital Venture: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8RUoTK2oeY